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Definitive Analysis

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MFF Capital Investments Limited (MFF.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$140.00 - $536.83$400.99
Multi-Stage$64.93 - $71.12$67.97
Blended Fair Value$234.48
Current Price$4.42
Upside5,204.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-10.40%25.87%0.110.080.060.050.040.180.020.020.010.01
YoY Growth--33.99%22.31%24.13%16.69%-75.67%710.79%22.00%39.83%0.59%24.18%
Dividend Yield--2.41%2.15%2.44%2.37%1.56%6.80%0.78%0.70%0.68%0.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,564.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)95.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,469.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)312.95195.60117.36
Cash Retained (M)1,469.341,469.341,469.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-312.95-195.60-117.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,156.381,273.741,351.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)579.69579.69579.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.992.202.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.992.202.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.162.362.50
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$140.00$400.99$536.83
Upside / Downside3,067.41%8,972.07%12,045.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,564.771,666.481,774.801,890.162,013.022,143.872,208.18
Payout Ratio6.10%22.88%39.66%56.44%73.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)95.43381.27703.871,066.801,473.931,929.482,042.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)352.57355.91359.25
Year 2 PV (M)601.86613.33624.90
Year 3 PV (M)843.51867.72892.40
Year 4 PV (M)1,077.671,119.121,161.75
Year 5 PV (M)1,304.531,367.541,432.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,459.7435,075.8536,753.82
Equity Value (M)37,639.8839,399.4741,225.07
Shares Outstanding (M)579.69579.69579.69
Fair Value$64.93$67.97$71.12
Upside / Downside1,369.03%1,437.71%1,508.96%

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