Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

ME Group International plc (MEGP.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.99 - $10.07$6.96
Multi-Stage$4.92 - $5.38$5.15
Blended Fair Value$6.06
Current Price$2.02
Upside199.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020202019201820172016
DPS-2.68%2.68%0.070.060.090.000.080.080.080.070.090.05
YoY Growth--18.76%-33.96%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.07%20.38%-18.85%79.11%-14.80%
Dividend Yield--3.44%4.41%10.08%0.00%17.15%17.96%9.22%4.36%5.06%2.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)109.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)57.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.9913.748.25
Cash Retained (M)57.7757.7757.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.99-13.74-8.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.7844.0349.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)379.50379.50379.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.120.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.120.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.27
WACC / Discount Rate8.49%8.49%8.49%
Growth Rate3.68%4.68%5.68%
Fair Value$4.99$6.96$10.07
Upside / Downside147.28%244.71%398.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)109.96115.10120.49126.13132.03138.21142.36
Payout Ratio47.46%55.97%64.48%72.98%81.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.1964.4277.6992.05107.60124.39131.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.49%8.49%8.49%
Growth Rate3.68%4.68%5.68%
Year 1 PV (M)58.8159.3859.95
Year 2 PV (M)64.7566.0067.27
Year 3 PV (M)70.0472.0974.17
Year 4 PV (M)74.7477.6680.67
Year 5 PV (M)78.8882.7686.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,520.701,595.471,673.14
Equity Value (M)1,867.921,953.362,042.00
Shares Outstanding (M)379.50379.50379.50
Fair Value$4.92$5.15$5.38
Upside / Downside143.67%154.81%166.37%

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