Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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MBN Corporation (MBN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.31 - $0.44$0.37
Multi-Stage$0.48 - $0.53$0.51
Blended Fair Value$0.44
Current Price$7.67
Upside-94.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2021202020192018201720162015201420132012
DPS0.00%0.00%0.290.310.000.090.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---5.63%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.82%5.00%0.00%1.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)0.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.040.030.02
Cash Retained (M)0.120.120.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.04-0.03-0.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.070.090.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.544.544.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.040.040.04
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.31$0.37$0.44
Upside / Downside-95.96%-95.13%-94.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)0.220.210.210.210.210.200.21
Payout Ratio46.46%55.17%63.88%72.58%81.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.100.120.130.150.170.180.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.110.110.11
Year 2 PV (M)0.110.110.11
Year 3 PV (M)0.110.110.12
Year 4 PV (M)0.110.110.12
Year 5 PV (M)0.110.110.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)1.651.731.82
Equity Value (M)2.192.292.40
Shares Outstanding (M)4.544.544.54
Fair Value$0.48$0.51$0.53
Upside / Downside-93.71%-93.41%-93.11%

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