Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Linde plc (LIN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,919.89 - $2,969.38$2,782.75
Multi-Stage$487.86 - $534.13$510.57
Blended Fair Value$1,646.66
Current Price$475.00
Upside246.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.02%13.34%5.595.224.934.614.273.982.451.901.801.72
YoY Growth--6.97%5.89%7.08%7.94%7.24%62.18%29.41%5.26%4.52%7.91%
Dividend Yield--1.20%1.13%1.39%1.44%1.52%2.30%1.39%1.33%1.52%1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,093.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,772.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,321.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,418.60886.63531.98
Cash Retained (M)4,321.004,321.004,321.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,418.60-886.63-531.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,902.403,434.383,789.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)475.06475.06475.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.117.237.98
LTM Dividend per Share5.845.845.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.117.237.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.9413.0613.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,919.89$2,782.75$2,969.38
Upside / Downside304.19%485.84%525.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,093.007,554.058,045.068,567.999,124.919,718.0210,009.57
Payout Ratio39.08%49.26%59.45%69.63%79.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,772.003,721.474,782.665,966.097,283.158,746.229,258.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,472.733,505.653,538.57
Year 2 PV (M)4,164.704,244.024,324.10
Year 3 PV (M)4,847.974,987.145,128.94
Year 4 PV (M)5,522.635,735.025,953.47
Year 5 PV (M)6,188.776,487.696,798.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)207,564.00217,589.42227,998.54
Equity Value (M)231,760.81242,548.94253,741.67
Shares Outstanding (M)475.06475.06475.06
Fair Value$487.86$510.57$534.13
Upside / Downside2.71%7.49%12.45%

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