Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Lithium Americas (Argentina) Corp. (LAAC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.68 - $74.83$63.59
Multi-Stage$77.16 - $84.89$80.95
Blended Fair Value$72.27
Current Price$3.26
Upside2,116.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%1.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--30.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,286.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,286.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)257.35160.8596.51
Cash Retained (M)1,286.501,286.501,286.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-257.35-160.85-96.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,029.141,125.651,189.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)162.27162.27162.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.346.947.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.346.947.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.346.947.33
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$52.68$63.59$74.83
Upside / Downside1,515.82%1,850.61%2,195.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,286.771,273.911,261.171,248.561,236.071,223.711,260.42
Payout Ratio0.02%18.02%36.01%54.01%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.28229.52454.18674.33890.021,101.341,165.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)206.92209.03211.14
Year 2 PV (M)369.14376.71384.36
Year 3 PV (M)494.10509.38524.97
Year 4 PV (M)587.93612.29637.41
Year 5 PV (M)655.88690.03725.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,207.3910,738.9211,292.36
Equity Value (M)12,521.3513,136.3613,775.83
Shares Outstanding (M)162.27162.27162.27
Fair Value$77.16$80.95$84.89
Upside / Downside2,266.93%2,383.18%2,504.06%

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