Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Kafrit Industries (1993) Ltd (KAFR.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$108.65 - $561.58$220.47
Multi-Stage$60.26 - $65.91$63.03
Blended Fair Value$141.75
Current Price$29.80
Upside375.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.45%13.67%0.730.640.640.560.500.480.400.400.360.28
YoY Growth--12.50%0.00%14.29%12.00%4.17%20.00%0.00%11.11%28.57%40.00%
Dividend Yield--2.69%3.49%3.86%2.21%2.45%3.95%2.52%2.68%2.00%1.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.018.765.25
Cash Retained (M)51.0651.0651.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.01-8.76-5.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.0542.3045.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.8124.8124.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.491.701.85
LTM Dividend per Share0.770.770.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.491.701.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.262.472.61
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$108.65$220.47$561.58
Upside / Downside264.59%639.82%1,784.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70.0674.6179.4684.6390.1395.9898.86
Payout Ratio27.12%39.70%52.27%64.85%77.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.0029.6241.5454.8869.7886.3991.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)27.2427.5027.76
Year 2 PV (M)35.1435.8136.49
Year 3 PV (M)42.7143.9445.19
Year 4 PV (M)49.9551.8853.85
Year 5 PV (M)56.8959.6362.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,283.041,345.011,409.35
Equity Value (M)1,494.981,563.771,635.13
Shares Outstanding (M)24.8124.8124.81
Fair Value$60.26$63.03$65.91
Upside / Downside102.21%111.51%121.16%

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