Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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International Biotechnology Trust plc (IBT.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.98 - $9.98$8.45
Multi-Stage$11.45 - $12.54$11.98
Blended Fair Value$10.22
Current Price$6.74
Upside51.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.290.310.350.310.260.290.270.230.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-5.60%-11.43%11.37%21.13%-10.07%4.71%17.39%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%4.29%4.80%5.36%4.30%3.55%4.53%4.04%3.75%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)37.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.544.712.83
Cash Retained (M)15.9215.9215.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.54-4.71-2.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.3811.2113.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.8736.8736.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.300.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.590.590.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.300.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.820.890.95
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.98$8.45$9.98
Upside / Downside3.59%25.38%48.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)37.7137.3336.9636.5936.2235.8636.93
Payout Ratio57.78%64.22%70.67%77.11%83.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.7923.9726.1128.2130.2632.2734.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)21.6821.9022.12
Year 2 PV (M)21.3521.7922.23
Year 3 PV (M)20.8521.5022.16
Year 4 PV (M)20.2321.0721.93
Year 5 PV (M)19.5020.5221.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)318.52335.11352.38
Equity Value (M)422.13441.88462.39
Shares Outstanding (M)36.8736.8736.87
Fair Value$11.45$11.98$12.54
Upside / Downside69.85%77.79%86.04%

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