Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Gränges AB (publ) (GRNG.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: AluminumSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$818.11 - $1,767.91$1,656.79
Multi-Stage$266.69 - $291.95$279.09
Blended Fair Value$967.94
Current Price$116.80
Upside728.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.68%-14.48%3.002.502.251.100.002.272.131.691.401.05
YoY Growth--19.92%11.30%104.27%0.00%-100.00%6.61%26.11%20.81%33.04%-92.65%
Dividend Yield--2.63%2.13%2.27%1.19%0.00%5.21%2.43%1.95%1.93%1.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)946.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)329.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)617.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)189.20118.2570.95
Cash Retained (M)617.00617.00617.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-189.20-118.25-70.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)427.80498.75546.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)106.42106.42106.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.024.695.13
LTM Dividend per Share3.093.093.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.024.695.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.117.788.22
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$818.11$1,656.79$1,767.91
Upside / Downside600.44%1,318.48%1,413.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)946.001,007.491,072.981,142.721,217.001,296.101,334.99
Payout Ratio34.78%45.82%56.87%67.91%78.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)329.00461.66610.17776.04960.891,166.491,234.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)429.74433.82437.89
Year 2 PV (M)528.73538.80548.96
Year 3 PV (M)625.97643.94662.25
Year 4 PV (M)721.50749.25777.79
Year 5 PV (M)815.34854.72895.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,259.2226,479.2527,745.98
Equity Value (M)28,380.5129,699.7831,068.49
Shares Outstanding (M)106.42106.42106.42
Fair Value$266.69$279.09$291.95
Upside / Downside128.33%138.95%149.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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