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Definitive Analysis

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GE Vernova Inc. (GEV)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34.29 - $47.16$40.79
Multi-Stage$44.52 - $48.83$46.64
Blended Fair Value$43.71
Current Price$614.90
Upside-92.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,704.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)207.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,497.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)340.80213.00127.80
Cash Retained (M)1,497.001,497.001,497.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-340.80-213.00-127.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,156.201,284.001,369.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)277.00277.00277.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.174.644.94
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.174.644.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.925.385.69
WACC / Discount Rate12.06%12.06%12.06%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$34.29$40.79$47.16
Upside / Downside-94.42%-93.37%-92.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,704.001,686.961,670.091,653.391,636.861,620.491,669.10
Payout Ratio12.15%27.72%43.29%58.86%74.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)207.00467.60722.96973.171,218.301,458.441,543.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.06%12.06%12.06%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)413.04417.26421.47
Year 2 PV (M)564.10575.67587.36
Year 3 PV (M)670.74691.48712.65
Year 4 PV (M)741.72772.46804.15
Year 5 PV (M)784.32825.16867.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,159.379,636.3210,132.93
Equity Value (M)12,333.2912,918.3513,526.25
Shares Outstanding (M)277.00277.00277.00
Fair Value$44.52$46.64$48.83
Upside / Downside-92.76%-92.42%-92.06%

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