Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk (EMTK.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BroadcastingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,393.41 - $17,866.05$6,783.67
Multi-Stage$2,397.34 - $2,624.27$2,508.71
Blended Fair Value$4,646.19
Current Price$484.00
Upside859.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.77%-3.39%8.737.236.140.040.005.237.009.1614.0847.40
YoY Growth--20.79%17.75%17,347.96%0.00%-100.00%-25.25%-23.58%-34.92%-70.30%284.71%
Dividend Yield--1.60%1.65%0.78%0.00%0.00%1.05%0.86%1.07%1.60%5.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,545,680.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,687,775.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,857,905.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,109,136.17693,210.11415,926.06
Cash Retained (M)2,857,905.262,857,905.262,857,905.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,109,136.17-693,210.11-415,926.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,748,769.092,164,695.152,441,979.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61,152.3761,152.3761,152.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share28.6035.4039.93
LTM Dividend per Share43.9543.9543.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share28.6035.4039.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend72.5579.3583.88
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Fair Value$3,393.41$6,783.67$17,866.05
Upside / Downside601.12%1,301.58%3,591.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,545,680.855,850,225.326,171,494.056,510,405.446,867,928.367,245,084.887,462,437.42
Payout Ratio48.47%56.77%65.08%73.39%81.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,687,775.593,321,341.714,016,387.594,777,754.965,610,631.926,520,576.396,902,754.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Year 1 PV (M)3,082,540.223,112,040.593,141,540.96
Year 2 PV (M)3,459,600.883,526,135.553,593,303.92
Year 3 PV (M)3,819,525.793,930,238.914,043,071.06
Year 4 PV (M)4,162,867.084,324,526.384,490,848.96
Year 5 PV (M)4,490,161.334,709,170.924,936,644.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)127,588,259.65133,811,433.02140,275,102.07
Equity Value (M)146,602,954.96153,413,545.37160,480,511.14
Shares Outstanding (M)61,152.3761,152.3761,152.37
Fair Value$2,397.34$2,508.71$2,624.27
Upside / Downside395.32%418.33%442.21%

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