Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Emeco Holdings Limited (EHL.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.62 - $47.25$20.44
Multi-Stage$8.98 - $9.86$9.41
Blended Fair Value$14.93
Current Price$0.83
Upside1,698.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.010.020.030.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-50.19%-3.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.67%3.80%3.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)127.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)121.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.5615.989.59
Cash Retained (M)121.31121.31121.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.56-15.98-9.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)95.75105.34111.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)527.51527.51527.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.210.22
WACC / Discount Rate5.50%5.50%5.50%
Growth Rate3.42%4.42%5.42%
Fair Value$9.62$20.44$47.25
Upside / Downside1,059.41%2,362.65%5,592.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)127.80133.45139.35145.51151.94158.65163.41
Payout Ratio5.08%22.06%39.05%56.03%73.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.4929.4454.4181.53110.94142.79151.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.50%5.50%5.50%
Growth Rate3.42%4.42%5.42%
Year 1 PV (M)27.6427.9028.17
Year 2 PV (M)47.9548.8849.82
Year 3 PV (M)67.4569.4271.44
Year 4 PV (M)86.1689.5493.02
Year 5 PV (M)104.11109.24114.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,402.744,619.754,845.24
Equity Value (M)4,736.044,964.745,202.26
Shares Outstanding (M)527.51527.51527.51
Fair Value$8.98$9.41$9.86
Upside / Downside981.71%1,033.94%1,088.19%

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