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Definitive Analysis

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Derichebourg S.A. (DBG.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.69 - $168.18$67.22
Multi-Stage$32.82 - $35.98$34.38
Blended Fair Value$50.80
Current Price$5.40
Upside840.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.63%9.92%0.160.320.320.000.110.140.140.020.050.00
YoY Growth---50.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-21.88%-2.18%663.33%-61.04%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.03%6.70%7.77%0.00%4.34%4.39%3.15%0.21%1.71%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)203.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)157.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.6825.4315.26
Cash Retained (M)157.20157.20157.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.68-25.43-15.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)116.52131.78141.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)159.31159.31159.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.730.830.89
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.730.830.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.021.121.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate3.92%4.92%5.92%
Fair Value$38.69$67.22$168.18
Upside / Downside616.40%1,144.77%3,014.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)203.40213.41223.91234.93246.49258.62266.38
Payout Ratio22.71%36.17%49.63%63.09%76.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.2077.19111.12148.21188.67232.76246.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate3.92%4.92%5.92%
Year 1 PV (M)71.6872.3773.06
Year 2 PV (M)95.8297.6799.54
Year 3 PV (M)118.67122.12125.65
Year 4 PV (M)140.28145.75151.39
Year 5 PV (M)160.70168.58176.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,642.054,869.745,106.27
Equity Value (M)5,229.195,476.235,732.68
Shares Outstanding (M)159.31159.31159.31
Fair Value$32.82$34.38$35.98
Upside / Downside507.86%536.58%566.39%

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