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Lionheart Holdings (CUB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.86 - $6.08$4.88
Multi-Stage$9.94 - $10.93$10.42
Blended Fair Value$7.65
Current Price$10.51
Upside-27.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202020192018201720162015201420132012
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.320.320.280.280.270.270.240.240.24
YoY Growth---100.00%0.20%14.40%0.19%0.77%0.40%12.86%0.19%0.00%-14.28%
Dividend Yield--0.00%3.17%3.16%2.77%2.76%2.74%2.73%2.42%2.41%2.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.091.310.78
Cash Retained (M)0.670.670.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.09-1.31-0.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.42-0.64-0.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.6526.6526.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.020.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.020.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate5.97%5.97%5.97%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.86$4.88$6.08
Upside / Downside-63.27%-53.60%-42.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10.4610.3510.2510.1510.059.9510.24
Payout Ratio93.60%92.88%92.16%91.44%90.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.799.629.459.289.118.959.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.97%5.97%5.97%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8.989.079.17
Year 2 PV (M)8.248.418.58
Year 3 PV (M)7.567.808.04
Year 4 PV (M)6.947.237.52
Year 5 PV (M)6.376.707.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)226.74238.55250.84
Equity Value (M)264.83277.75291.19
Shares Outstanding (M)26.6526.6526.65
Fair Value$9.94$10.42$10.93
Upside / Downside-5.43%-0.82%3.98%

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