Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CT UK Capital And Income Investment Trust Plc (CTUK.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.49 - $6.80$5.58
Multi-Stage$6.15 - $6.74$6.44
Blended Fair Value$6.01
Current Price$3.18
Upside88.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.01%3.70%0.120.130.120.120.120.110.110.100.100.09
YoY Growth---0.85%2.29%0.87%3.33%4.51%6.50%5.69%4.13%4.64%6.10%
Dividend Yield--3.73%4.21%4.38%3.74%4.73%3.47%3.22%3.12%3.35%3.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)51.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.346.463.88
Cash Retained (M)29.2529.2529.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.34-6.46-3.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.9122.7925.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)102.10102.10102.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.440.47
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate0.50%1.50%2.50%
Fair Value$4.49$5.58$6.80
Upside / Downside41.31%75.46%113.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)51.7052.4753.2554.0554.8655.6857.35
Payout Ratio43.42%52.73%62.05%71.37%80.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.4527.6733.0438.5744.2650.1153.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate0.50%1.50%2.50%
Year 1 PV (M)25.0125.2625.51
Year 2 PV (M)26.9927.5328.08
Year 3 PV (M)28.4829.3430.21
Year 4 PV (M)29.5330.7331.96
Year 5 PV (M)30.2231.7533.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)488.08512.86538.62
Equity Value (M)628.31657.46687.72
Shares Outstanding (M)102.10102.10102.10
Fair Value$6.15$6.44$6.74
Upside / Downside93.52%102.49%111.81%

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