Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cargojet Inc. (CJT.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$650.68 - $1,556.09$1,458.28
Multi-Stage$225.27 - $246.73$235.80
Blended Fair Value$847.04
Current Price$94.83
Upside793.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.58%17.71%1.671.241.181.070.920.780.700.560.400.36
YoY Growth--35.53%4.23%10.53%17.12%17.74%11.71%24.72%39.06%12.28%9.03%
Dividend Yield--2.03%1.10%1.08%0.56%0.56%0.77%0.86%0.82%0.87%1.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)124.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)102.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.9615.609.36
Cash Retained (M)102.90102.90102.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.96-15.60-9.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)77.9487.3093.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.9515.9515.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.895.475.86
LTM Dividend per Share1.371.371.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.895.475.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.266.857.24
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$650.68$1,458.28$1,556.09
Upside / Downside586.16%1,437.79%1,540.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)124.80132.91141.55150.75160.55170.99176.12
Payout Ratio17.55%32.04%46.53%61.02%75.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.9042.5865.8691.99121.23153.89162.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)39.6039.9840.35
Year 2 PV (M)56.9758.0559.15
Year 3 PV (M)74.0076.1278.28
Year 4 PV (M)90.7094.1897.77
Year 5 PV (M)107.07112.24117.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,224.703,380.463,542.17
Equity Value (M)3,593.033,761.033,935.34
Shares Outstanding (M)15.9515.9515.95
Fair Value$225.27$235.80$246.73
Upside / Downside137.55%148.66%160.18%

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