Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Big Yellow Group Plc (BYG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.53 - $120.63$70.64
Multi-Stage$32.84 - $35.84$34.31
Blended Fair Value$52.48
Current Price$9.72
Upside439.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.71%12.25%0.450.430.400.350.300.280.270.240.210.19
YoY Growth--3.85%7.73%15.20%16.82%5.57%7.01%12.72%12.21%12.94%30.67%
Dividend Yield--4.84%4.20%3.45%2.28%2.69%2.83%2.66%2.76%2.87%2.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)396.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)178.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)218.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)79.2849.5529.73
Cash Retained (M)218.09218.09218.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-79.28-49.55-29.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)138.81168.54188.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)196.15196.15196.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.710.860.96
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.710.860.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.621.771.87
WACC / Discount Rate9.17%9.17%9.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$46.53$70.64$120.63
Upside / Downside378.69%626.79%1,141.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)396.40422.16449.60478.83509.95543.10559.39
Payout Ratio44.98%53.99%62.99%71.99%81.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)178.31227.91283.20344.72413.04488.79517.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.17%9.17%9.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)206.81208.77210.73
Year 2 PV (M)233.20237.64242.13
Year 3 PV (M)257.58264.98272.51
Year 4 PV (M)280.07290.84301.92
Year 5 PV (M)300.75315.27330.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,163.585,412.985,671.93
Equity Value (M)6,442.006,730.497,029.58
Shares Outstanding (M)196.15196.15196.15
Fair Value$32.84$34.31$35.84
Upside / Downside237.88%253.01%268.70%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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