Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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BRF S.A. (BRFS3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$229.65 - $438.16$410.62
Multi-Stage$68.21 - $74.69$71.39
Blended Fair Value$241.01
Current Price$20.14
Upside1,096.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%4.66%0.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.720.55
YoY Growth--134,383.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%32.30%22.47%
Dividend Yield--3.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.88%1.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,585.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,144.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,441.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)717.12448.20268.92
Cash Retained (M)2,441.132,441.132,441.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-717.12-448.20-268.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,724.021,992.932,172.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,627.441,627.441,627.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.061.221.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.700.700.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.061.221.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.761.932.04
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$229.65$410.62$438.16
Upside / Downside1,040.26%1,938.84%2,075.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,585.593,818.654,066.864,331.214,612.734,912.565,059.94
Payout Ratio31.92%43.53%55.15%66.77%78.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,144.451,662.432,242.912,891.833,615.634,421.314,680.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,549.081,563.761,578.44
Year 2 PV (M)1,947.471,984.572,022.01
Year 3 PV (M)2,339.712,406.882,475.31
Year 4 PV (M)2,725.862,830.692,938.51
Year 5 PV (M)3,105.993,256.013,411.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)99,345.00104,143.41109,125.45
Equity Value (M)111,013.12116,185.31121,551.51
Shares Outstanding (M)1,627.441,627.441,627.44
Fair Value$68.21$71.39$74.69
Upside / Downside238.70%254.48%270.85%

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