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Bokusgruppen AB (publ) (BOKUS.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.62 - $50.72$41.69
Multi-Stage$70.82 - $77.72$74.21
Blended Fair Value$57.95
Current Price$69.00
Upside-16.02%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%3.262.972.970.720.300.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--9.90%0.00%314.53%141.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.08%6.74%8.48%1.52%0.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)64.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.868.044.82
Cash Retained (M)8.608.608.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.86-8.04-4.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)-4.260.563.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.3516.3516.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.260.030.23
LTM Dividend per Share3.413.413.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.260.030.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.153.443.64
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$33.62$41.69$50.72
Upside / Downside-51.28%-39.58%-26.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)64.3063.6663.0262.3961.7761.1562.98
Payout Ratio86.63%87.30%87.98%88.65%89.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.7055.5755.4455.3155.1755.0358.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)51.3351.8552.38
Year 2 PV (M)47.3048.2749.25
Year 3 PV (M)43.5844.9346.30
Year 4 PV (M)40.1541.8243.53
Year 5 PV (M)36.9938.9240.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)938.33987.191,038.06
Equity Value (M)1,157.681,212.981,270.45
Shares Outstanding (M)16.3516.3516.35
Fair Value$70.82$74.21$77.72
Upside / Downside2.64%7.54%12.64%

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