Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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B3 S.A. - Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão (B3SA3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.54 - $51.39$30.83
Multi-Stage$14.25 - $15.57$14.90
Blended Fair Value$22.87
Current Price$13.40
Upside70.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.17%10.68%0.390.380.001.270.740.390.290.150.110.27
YoY Growth--2.50%0.00%-100.00%72.62%88.41%34.85%96.22%33.40%-59.08%92.59%
Dividend Yield--3.19%3.20%0.00%7.98%3.95%3.23%2.64%1.64%1.64%4.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,856.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,039.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,816.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)971.26607.04364.22
Cash Retained (M)3,816.873,816.873,816.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-971.26-607.04-364.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,845.613,209.833,452.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,281.405,281.405,281.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.610.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.610.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.740.800.85
WACC / Discount Rate9.28%9.28%9.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20.54$30.83$51.39
Upside / Downside53.25%130.09%283.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,856.295,171.955,508.135,866.156,247.456,653.546,853.15
Payout Ratio21.40%35.12%48.84%62.56%76.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,039.421,816.542,690.293,669.954,765.605,988.196,339.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.28%9.28%9.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,646.681,662.291,677.90
Year 2 PV (M)2,210.702,252.812,295.31
Year 3 PV (M)2,733.732,812.212,892.17
Year 4 PV (M)3,217.953,341.703,468.99
Year 5 PV (M)3,665.413,842.454,026.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)61,795.1264,779.8467,878.80
Equity Value (M)75,269.5978,691.3082,239.44
Shares Outstanding (M)5,281.405,281.405,281.40
Fair Value$14.25$14.90$15.57
Upside / Downside6.36%11.19%16.21%

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