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Allos S.A. (ALOS3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$134.28 - $292.82$274.42
Multi-Stage$45.40 - $49.63$47.47
Blended Fair Value$160.95
Current Price$25.83
Upside523.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS54.85%36.16%1.490.570.200.120.000.170.050.070.070.07
YoY Growth--160.10%187.21%69.97%0.00%-100.00%262.04%-32.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.81%2.43%1.14%0.51%0.00%0.63%0.16%0.28%0.31%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)750.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)609.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)141.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)150.1093.8156.29
Cash Retained (M)141.51141.51141.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-150.10-93.81-56.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)-8.6047.6985.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)509.72509.72509.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.090.17
LTM Dividend per Share1.191.191.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.090.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.181.291.36
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$134.28$274.42$292.82
Upside / Downside419.84%962.39%1,033.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)750.51799.29851.24906.57965.501,028.261,059.10
Payout Ratio81.15%82.92%84.69%86.46%88.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)609.00662.74720.89783.81851.85925.43979.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)616.88622.73628.57
Year 2 PV (M)624.58636.47648.48
Year 3 PV (M)632.09650.24668.73
Year 4 PV (M)639.43664.02689.31
Year 5 PV (M)646.59677.82710.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,982.2620,947.4121,949.50
Equity Value (M)23,141.8324,198.6925,294.84
Shares Outstanding (M)509.72509.72509.72
Fair Value$45.40$47.47$49.63
Upside / Downside75.77%83.80%92.12%

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