Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Absolent Air Care Group AB (publ) (ABSO.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,287.90 - $1,517.36$1,421.99
Multi-Stage$912.14 - $1,000.92$955.70
Blended Fair Value$1,188.85
Current Price$272.00
Upside337.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.87%21.61%3.002.752.001.800.001.501.000.900.800.57
YoY Growth--9.09%37.50%11.11%0.00%-100.00%50.00%11.12%12.49%39.51%35.19%
Dividend Yield--1.14%0.79%0.44%0.50%0.00%0.44%0.28%0.71%0.64%0.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)86.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)49.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.2610.796.47
Cash Retained (M)49.5049.5049.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.26-10.79-6.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.2438.7143.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.3111.3111.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.853.423.80
LTM Dividend per Share3.253.253.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.853.423.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.106.687.06
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,287.90$1,421.99$1,517.36
Upside / Downside373.49%422.79%457.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)86.2991.9097.88104.24111.01118.23121.78
Payout Ratio42.64%52.11%61.58%71.05%80.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.7947.8960.2774.0789.40106.41112.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)46.7347.1847.62
Year 2 PV (M)57.4058.4959.60
Year 3 PV (M)68.8370.8072.82
Year 4 PV (M)81.0784.1987.39
Year 5 PV (M)94.1698.71103.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,968.3710,449.8510,949.75
Equity Value (M)10,316.5610,809.2211,320.61
Shares Outstanding (M)11.3111.3111.31
Fair Value$912.14$955.70$1,000.92
Upside / Downside235.35%251.36%267.98%

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