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Definitive Analysis

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Okamura Corporation (7994.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24,079.74 - $45,140.23$42,303.01
Multi-Stage$7,101.56 - $7,773.40$7,431.30
Blended Fair Value$24,867.16
Current Price$2,348.00
Upside959.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS20.30%15.13%88.0876.0143.4342.1832.6334.9632.5927.9730.2721.54
YoY Growth--15.89%74.99%2.98%29.27%-6.68%7.26%16.55%-7.61%40.51%0.05%
Dividend Yield--3.97%3.40%2.28%3.48%2.17%4.67%2.97%1.72%2.84%2.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21,483.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,902.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,581.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,296.602,685.381,611.23
Cash Retained (M)12,581.0012,581.0012,581.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,296.60-2,685.38-1,611.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,284.409,895.6310,969.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)94.6594.6594.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share87.53104.55115.90
LTM Dividend per Share94.0594.0594.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share87.53104.55115.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend181.58198.61209.95
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$24,079.74$42,303.01$45,140.23
Upside / Downside925.54%1,701.66%1,822.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21,483.0022,879.4024,366.5625,950.3827,637.1629,433.5730,316.58
Payout Ratio41.44%51.15%60.86%70.57%80.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,902.0011,702.8014,830.0818,314.4722,189.1826,490.2128,042.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10,906.3011,009.6711,113.05
Year 2 PV (M)12,880.0913,125.4213,373.07
Year 3 PV (M)14,823.7315,249.2715,682.87
Year 4 PV (M)16,737.5617,381.2418,043.31
Year 5 PV (M)18,621.9019,521.3520,455.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)598,178.77627,071.03657,069.07
Equity Value (M)672,148.36703,357.98735,736.58
Shares Outstanding (M)94.6594.6594.65
Fair Value$7,101.56$7,431.30$7,773.40
Upside / Downside202.45%216.50%231.06%

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