Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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COPRO-HOLDINGS. Co., Ltd. (7059.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$445.98 - $663.32$549.53
Multi-Stage$373.17 - $406.03$389.31
Blended Fair Value$469.42
Current Price$1,127.00
Upside-58.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020201920182017
DPS29.12%0.00%27.1617.009.659.267.347.573.192.453.270.00
YoY Growth--59.82%76.10%4.25%26.21%-3.07%137.05%30.43%-25.08%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.44%1.96%1.72%4.42%2.30%2.56%1.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,959.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)333.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,625.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)391.82244.89146.93
Cash Retained (M)1,625.751,625.751,625.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-391.82-244.89-146.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,233.931,380.861,478.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.5338.5338.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share32.0235.8438.38
LTM Dividend per Share8.658.658.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share32.0235.8438.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend40.6844.4947.03
WACC / Discount Rate15.12%15.12%15.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$445.98$549.53$663.32
Upside / Downside-60.43%-51.24%-41.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,959.112,086.452,222.072,366.512,520.332,684.152,764.68
Payout Ratio17.02%31.61%46.21%60.81%75.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)333.36659.581,026.811,438.991,900.412,415.742,557.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate15.12%15.12%15.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)567.56572.94578.32
Year 2 PV (M)760.29774.77789.39
Year 3 PV (M)916.83943.15969.97
Year 4 PV (M)1,041.891,081.961,123.18
Year 5 PV (M)1,139.651,194.691,251.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,952.4110,433.1110,932.21
Equity Value (M)14,378.6315,000.6315,644.91
Shares Outstanding (M)38.5338.5338.53
Fair Value$373.17$389.31$406.03
Upside / Downside-66.89%-65.46%-63.97%

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