Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Padini Holdings Berhad (7052.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.55 - $32.95$13.60
Multi-Stage$3.71 - $4.05$3.88
Blended Fair Value$8.74
Current Price$2.00
Upside337.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.67%1.75%0.080.080.080.070.020.050.080.080.080.08
YoY Growth--3.48%0.00%15.00%299.99%-66.67%-34.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%15.00%
Dividend Yield--3.97%3.23%2.92%3.17%0.80%3.23%3.01%1.95%2.53%4.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)163.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)79.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)84.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.7320.4612.27
Cash Retained (M)84.0484.0484.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.73-20.46-12.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.3163.5871.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)986.86986.86986.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.150.15
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.42%6.42%7.42%
Fair Value$6.55$13.60$32.95
Upside / Downside227.51%580.21%1,547.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)163.65174.15185.34197.24209.90223.38230.08
Payout Ratio48.65%56.92%65.19%73.46%81.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)79.6199.12120.82144.89171.55201.04212.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.42%6.42%7.42%
Year 1 PV (M)91.2992.1693.02
Year 2 PV (M)102.48104.44106.41
Year 3 PV (M)113.19116.45119.76
Year 4 PV (M)123.44128.19133.08
Year 5 PV (M)133.23139.67146.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,095.743,245.383,400.76
Equity Value (M)3,659.393,826.293,999.38
Shares Outstanding (M)986.86986.86986.86
Fair Value$3.71$3.88$4.05
Upside / Downside85.40%93.86%102.63%

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