Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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UA YANG Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. (6983.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.21 - $51.82$43.86
Multi-Stage$57.24 - $62.84$59.99
Blended Fair Value$51.92
Current Price$141.50
Upside-63.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%1.500.330.330.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--351.28%-0.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.30%0.42%0.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)59.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.7510.476.28
Cash Retained (M)59.9159.9159.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.75-10.47-6.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.1649.4453.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.9115.9115.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.713.113.37
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.713.113.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.214.614.87
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$36.21$43.86$51.82
Upside / Downside-74.41%-69.00%-63.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.7682.9282.0981.2780.4679.6582.04
Payout Ratio28.47%40.78%53.08%65.39%77.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.8533.8243.5853.1462.5171.6975.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)30.6030.9131.22
Year 2 PV (M)35.6836.4137.15
Year 3 PV (M)39.3740.5941.83
Year 4 PV (M)41.9143.6545.44
Year 5 PV (M)43.4945.7548.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)719.65757.13796.15
Equity Value (M)910.70954.44999.90
Shares Outstanding (M)15.9115.9115.91
Fair Value$57.24$59.99$62.84
Upside / Downside-59.55%-57.61%-55.59%

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