Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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TDK Corporation (6762.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13,237.76 - $15,596.33$14,616.04
Multi-Stage$10,613.21 - $11,647.37$11,120.63
Blended Fair Value$12,868.34
Current Price$1,695.50
Upside658.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS17.72%17.03%25.5522.1919.5812.6311.9711.309.977.977.967.30
YoY Growth--15.15%13.32%55.08%5.49%5.91%13.30%25.17%0.04%9.15%37.69%
Dividend Yield--1.51%1.12%1.76%1.51%1.33%1.59%1.68%1.06%1.62%1.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)148,996.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56,975.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)92,021.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29,799.2018,624.5011,174.70
Cash Retained (M)92,021.0092,021.0092,021.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-29,799.20-18,624.50-11,174.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)62,221.8073,396.5080,846.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,899.911,899.911,899.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share32.7538.6342.55
LTM Dividend per Share29.9929.9929.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share32.7538.6342.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend62.7468.6272.54
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13,237.76$14,616.04$15,596.33
Upside / Downside680.76%762.05%819.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)148,996.00158,680.74168,994.99179,979.66191,678.34204,137.43210,261.56
Payout Ratio38.24%48.59%58.94%69.30%79.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56,975.0077,105.2399,611.68124,718.19152,667.69183,723.69194,491.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)77,164.9277,896.3478,627.76
Year 2 PV (M)99,765.96101,666.22103,584.41
Year 3 PV (M)125,008.05128,596.58132,253.14
Year 4 PV (M)153,140.96159,030.33165,087.96
Year 5 PV (M)184,435.90193,344.22202,593.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,524,589.4820,467,634.4521,446,771.97
Equity Value (M)20,164,105.2721,128,168.1522,128,918.73
Shares Outstanding (M)1,899.911,899.911,899.91
Fair Value$10,613.21$11,120.63$11,647.37
Upside / Downside525.96%555.89%586.96%

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