Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Major-Power Technology Co., Ltd. (6720.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58.28 - $88.65$72.53
Multi-Stage$119.78 - $131.93$125.74
Blended Fair Value$99.13
Current Price$127.60
Upside-22.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%1.330.041.080.400.190.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2,882.94%-95.87%166.94%115.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.99%0.09%6.86%1.12%0.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)188.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)148.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.6023.5014.10
Cash Retained (M)148.99148.99148.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.60-23.50-14.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)111.39125.49134.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.3828.3828.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.924.424.75
LTM Dividend per Share1.381.381.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.924.424.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.305.806.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.91%6.91%6.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$58.28$72.53$88.65
Upside / Downside-54.33%-43.16%-30.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)188.02186.14184.28182.44180.62178.81184.17
Payout Ratio20.76%34.61%48.45%62.30%76.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.0364.4289.29113.67137.54160.93170.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.91%6.91%6.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)59.6460.2560.86
Year 2 PV (M)76.5578.1279.71
Year 3 PV (M)90.2293.0195.86
Year 4 PV (M)101.08105.27109.59
Year 5 PV (M)109.50115.21121.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,962.233,116.483,277.09
Equity Value (M)3,399.233,568.343,744.25
Shares Outstanding (M)28.3828.3828.38
Fair Value$119.78$125.74$131.93
Upside / Downside-6.13%-1.46%3.40%

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