Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Apaq Technology Co., Ltd. (6449.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$975.57 - $1,149.39$1,077.14
Multi-Stage$782.33 - $858.55$819.73
Blended Fair Value$948.44
Current Price$112.00
Upside746.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.45%14.33%2.292.292.011.910.960.941.771.441.281.33
YoY Growth--0.00%13.71%5.26%99.96%1.61%-46.75%22.76%12.50%-3.42%120.82%
Dividend Yield--2.03%2.74%3.61%3.43%1.42%4.02%5.57%2.57%3.68%4.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)510.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)202.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)308.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)102.1463.8438.30
Cash Retained (M)308.43308.43308.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-102.14-63.84-38.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)206.28244.59270.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.3788.3788.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.332.773.06
LTM Dividend per Share2.292.292.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.332.773.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.625.065.35
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$975.57$1,077.14$1,149.39
Upside / Downside771.04%861.74%926.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)510.72543.92579.27616.92657.02699.73720.72
Payout Ratio39.61%49.69%59.77%69.84%79.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)202.29270.26346.21430.88525.11629.76666.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)270.47273.03275.60
Year 2 PV (M)346.74353.35360.01
Year 3 PV (M)431.88444.28456.92
Year 4 PV (M)526.73546.99567.83
Year 5 PV (M)632.20662.73694.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)66,925.2870,157.7973,514.02
Equity Value (M)69,133.3072,438.1875,868.81
Shares Outstanding (M)88.3788.3788.37
Fair Value$782.33$819.73$858.55
Upside / Downside598.51%631.90%666.56%

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