Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Yen Sun Technology Corporation (6275.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.69 - $39.81$32.23
Multi-Stage$60.59 - $66.60$63.54
Blended Fair Value$47.89
Current Price$43.90
Upside9.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%2.841.901.901.290.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--49.00%0.23%47.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.63%3.07%5.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)220.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)179.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.1127.5716.54
Cash Retained (M)41.3541.3541.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.11-27.57-16.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.7613.7824.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)80.2280.2280.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.170.31
LTM Dividend per Share2.232.232.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.170.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.202.412.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$25.69$32.23$39.81
Upside / Downside-41.47%-26.58%-9.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)220.54218.34216.15213.99211.85209.73216.03
Payout Ratio81.25%83.00%84.75%86.50%88.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)179.19181.22183.19185.10186.96188.76199.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)168.62170.34172.06
Year 2 PV (M)158.60161.85165.14
Year 3 PV (M)149.11153.72158.43
Year 4 PV (M)140.13145.94151.93
Year 5 PV (M)131.64138.50145.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,112.894,327.054,550.05
Equity Value (M)4,860.985,097.405,343.23
Shares Outstanding (M)80.2280.2280.22
Fair Value$60.59$63.54$66.60
Upside / Downside38.02%44.74%51.72%

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