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Definitive Analysis

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Pulike Biological Engineering, Inc. (603566.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.27 - $80.94$26.09
Multi-Stage$9.02 - $9.83$9.42
Blended Fair Value$17.75
Current Price$13.74
Upside29.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.18%8.67%0.410.670.190.470.190.290.190.190.140.14
YoY Growth---38.74%253.50%-59.54%148.99%-35.16%50.68%0.63%33.89%0.00%-20.00%
Dividend Yield--3.42%3.67%0.67%1.69%0.92%1.59%1.30%0.95%0.54%0.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)143.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)136.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.7317.9610.78
Cash Retained (M)6.906.906.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.73-17.96-10.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)-21.83-11.06-3.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)336.73336.73336.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.03-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.03-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.27$26.09$80.94
Upside / Downside3.83%89.86%489.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)143.67153.01162.95173.55184.83196.84202.74
Payout Ratio95.20%94.16%93.12%92.08%91.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)136.77144.07151.74159.80168.26177.16187.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)132.11133.37134.62
Year 2 PV (M)127.60130.03132.49
Year 3 PV (M)123.23126.77130.37
Year 4 PV (M)118.99123.57128.28
Year 5 PV (M)114.89120.43126.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,420.682,537.592,658.99
Equity Value (M)3,037.503,171.763,310.94
Shares Outstanding (M)336.73336.73336.73
Fair Value$9.02$9.42$9.83
Upside / Downside-34.35%-31.45%-28.44%

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