Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Asian Star Anchor Chain Co., Ltd. Jiangsu (601890.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.05 - $7.04$5.33
Multi-Stage$6.55 - $7.20$6.87
Blended Fair Value$6.10
Current Price$10.15
Upside-39.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.120.060.050.040.030.000.030.030.070.04
YoY Growth--90.23%26.16%22.56%37.49%0.00%-100.00%-3.07%-56.12%92.82%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.26%0.76%0.54%0.56%0.57%0.00%0.40%0.50%0.69%0.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)300.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)107.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)192.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)60.0137.5122.50
Cash Retained (M)192.07192.07192.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-60.01-37.51-22.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)132.06154.56169.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)959.48959.48959.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.270.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.89%6.89%6.89%
Growth Rate0.67%1.67%2.67%
Fair Value$4.05$5.33$7.04
Upside / Downside-60.11%-47.50%-30.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)300.06305.07310.16315.34320.61325.96335.74
Payout Ratio35.99%46.79%57.59%68.40%79.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)107.99142.75178.63215.68253.91293.36310.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.89%6.89%6.89%
Growth Rate0.67%1.67%2.67%
Year 1 PV (M)132.23133.54134.86
Year 2 PV (M)153.29156.35159.44
Year 3 PV (M)171.44176.60181.86
Year 4 PV (M)186.97194.51202.27
Year 5 PV (M)200.10210.24220.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,445.195,721.066,008.01
Equity Value (M)6,289.226,592.306,907.23
Shares Outstanding (M)959.48959.48959.48
Fair Value$6.55$6.87$7.20
Upside / Downside-35.42%-32.31%-29.07%

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