Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hsino Tower Group Co., Ltd. (601096.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.19 - $4.68$3.12
Multi-Stage$9.88 - $10.92$10.39
Blended Fair Value$6.76
Current Price$4.24
Upside59.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-18.18%0.00%0.030.000.040.070.060.080.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--538.04%-89.32%-42.70%31.40%-28.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.70%0.09%2.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)334.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)82.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)252.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)66.9241.8325.10
Cash Retained (M)252.33252.33252.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-66.92-41.83-25.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)185.41210.51227.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,674.502,674.502,674.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.12
WACC / Discount Rate2.47%2.47%2.47%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.19$3.12$4.68
Upside / Downside-48.26%-26.37%10.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)334.62331.27327.96324.68321.43318.22327.76
Payout Ratio24.59%37.67%50.75%63.84%76.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)82.28124.80166.45207.26247.24286.39303.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.47%2.47%2.47%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)120.56121.79123.02
Year 2 PV (M)155.33158.52161.74
Year 3 PV (M)186.84192.62198.52
Year 4 PV (M)215.31224.23233.43
Year 5 PV (M)240.94253.48266.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,505.7226,833.8628,216.76
Equity Value (M)26,424.7027,784.5029,200.01
Shares Outstanding (M)2,674.502,674.502,674.50
Fair Value$9.88$10.39$10.92
Upside / Downside133.02%145.02%157.50%

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