Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Jiangsu Zongyi Co.,LTD (600770.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.15 - $0.20$0.17
Multi-Stage$0.29 - $0.32$0.30
Blended Fair Value$0.24
Current Price$5.74
Upside-95.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-18.91%-18.37%0.010.010.020.020.030.030.040.060.070.08
YoY Growth---29.56%-12.03%-8.88%-37.57%-0.54%-21.69%-40.85%-6.02%-18.57%5.65%
Dividend Yield--0.24%0.38%0.24%0.23%0.53%0.64%0.49%0.87%0.71%0.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.776.113.67
Cash Retained (M)39.8839.8839.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.77-6.11-3.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.1033.7736.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,299.751,299.751,299.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.03
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate-8.94%-7.94%-6.94%
Fair Value$0.15$0.17$0.20
Upside / Downside-97.40%-96.96%-96.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48.8744.9941.4138.1235.0932.3033.27
Payout Ratio18.40%32.72%47.04%61.36%75.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.9914.7219.4823.3926.5629.0730.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate-8.94%-7.94%-6.94%
Year 1 PV (M)13.3013.4513.60
Year 2 PV (M)15.9216.2716.62
Year 3 PV (M)17.2817.8518.44
Year 4 PV (M)17.7318.5219.34
Year 5 PV (M)17.5418.5319.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)288.84305.05321.98
Equity Value (M)370.61389.67409.54
Shares Outstanding (M)1,299.751,299.751,299.75
Fair Value$0.29$0.30$0.32
Upside / Downside-95.03%-94.78%-94.51%

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