Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Fujian Longxi Bearing (Group) Co., Ltd (600592.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.73 - $8.14$5.35
Multi-Stage$2.87 - $3.13$3.00
Blended Fair Value$4.17
Current Price$26.98
Upside-84.54%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.44%-0.69%0.140.020.160.140.140.120.120.120.110.12
YoY Growth--535.32%-86.43%17.86%1.03%9.87%0.05%0.57%9.09%-3.89%-21.64%
Dividend Yield--0.77%0.21%2.06%1.48%1.31%0.88%1.24%1.40%0.58%1.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)76.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)23.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.339.585.75
Cash Retained (M)23.5223.5223.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.33-9.58-5.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.1913.9417.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)400.23400.23400.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3.73$5.35$8.14
Upside / Downside-86.19%-80.19%-69.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)76.6681.6486.9592.6098.62105.03108.18
Payout Ratio69.32%73.45%77.59%81.73%85.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.1459.9767.4675.6884.6894.53100.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)54.0854.6055.11
Year 2 PV (M)54.8755.9256.97
Year 3 PV (M)55.5257.1158.73
Year 4 PV (M)56.0258.1860.39
Year 5 PV (M)56.4059.1361.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)873.05915.22959.00
Equity Value (M)1,149.951,200.141,252.16
Shares Outstanding (M)400.23400.23400.23
Fair Value$2.87$3.00$3.13
Upside / Downside-89.35%-88.89%-88.40%

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