Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

KPJ Healthcare Berhad (5878.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.44 - $15.76$7.84
Multi-Stage$1.83 - $2.00$1.92
Blended Fair Value$4.88
Current Price$2.66
Upside83.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.02%15.56%0.040.030.020.010.020.020.010.020.020.02
YoY Growth--23.88%68.32%266.09%-67.38%-15.58%36.46%-30.15%27.53%-15.14%95.94%
Dividend Yield--1.57%1.78%1.76%0.54%1.62%2.12%1.45%2.33%1.61%1.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)345.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)187.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)158.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.1343.2125.92
Cash Retained (M)158.00158.00158.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.13-43.21-25.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)88.86114.79132.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,361.684,361.684,361.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3.44$7.84$15.76
Upside / Downside29.47%194.69%492.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)345.66368.13392.06417.54444.68473.59487.79
Payout Ratio54.29%61.43%68.57%75.72%82.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)187.67226.15268.85316.15368.46426.23451.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)208.51210.49212.47
Year 2 PV (M)228.55232.90237.29
Year 3 PV (M)247.79254.90262.15
Year 4 PV (M)266.26276.50287.03
Year 5 PV (M)283.98297.69311.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,767.527,094.397,433.78
Equity Value (M)8,002.608,366.878,744.64
Shares Outstanding (M)4,361.684,361.684,361.68
Fair Value$1.83$1.92$2.00
Upside / Downside-31.02%-27.88%-24.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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