Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Uluru.Co.,Ltd. (3979.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$214.02 - $326.51$266.70
Multi-Stage$452.33 - $497.90$474.67
Blended Fair Value$370.68
Current Price$433.00
Upside-14.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%8.740.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)666.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)241.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)425.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)133.3683.3550.01
Cash Retained (M)425.78425.78425.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-133.36-83.35-50.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)292.43342.44375.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.6827.6827.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.5712.3713.58
LTM Dividend per Share8.718.718.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.5712.3713.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.2721.0822.28
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$214.02$266.70$326.51
Upside / Downside-50.57%-38.41%-24.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)666.78660.12653.51646.98640.51634.10653.13
Payout Ratio36.14%46.91%57.69%68.46%79.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)241.00309.69376.99442.91507.47570.69604.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)286.98289.91292.84
Year 2 PV (M)323.72330.36337.06
Year 3 PV (M)352.42363.32374.45
Year 4 PV (M)374.18389.69405.67
Year 5 PV (M)389.94410.24431.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,792.2411,354.2211,939.36
Equity Value (M)12,519.4813,137.7413,780.77
Shares Outstanding (M)27.6827.6827.68
Fair Value$452.33$474.67$497.90
Upside / Downside4.46%9.62%14.99%

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