Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Leadtrend Technology Corporation (3588.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.60 - $26.45$20.33
Multi-Stage$22.37 - $24.54$23.44
Blended Fair Value$21.88
Current Price$46.08
Upside-52.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.93%-12.88%0.400.872.970.490.800.600.401.211.181.59
YoY Growth---54.54%-70.62%504.82%-38.54%33.30%49.56%-66.93%2.38%-25.43%0.83%
Dividend Yield--0.78%0.84%5.22%0.40%1.10%3.17%2.11%6.02%4.70%6.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)74.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.889.305.58
Cash Retained (M)51.1251.1251.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.88-9.30-5.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.2441.8245.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)58.6858.6858.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.710.78
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.710.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.011.111.17
WACC / Discount Rate7.65%7.65%7.65%
Growth Rate1.08%2.08%3.08%
Fair Value$15.60$20.33$26.45
Upside / Downside-66.14%-55.89%-42.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)74.3975.9477.5279.1480.7982.4784.94
Payout Ratio31.29%43.03%54.77%66.52%78.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.2832.6842.4652.6463.2274.2278.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.65%7.65%7.65%
Growth Rate1.08%2.08%3.08%
Year 1 PV (M)30.0630.3530.65
Year 2 PV (M)35.9236.6437.36
Year 3 PV (M)40.9642.1943.44
Year 4 PV (M)45.2547.0748.94
Year 5 PV (M)48.8751.3353.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,111.541,167.621,225.94
Equity Value (M)1,312.601,375.201,440.23
Shares Outstanding (M)58.6858.6858.68
Fair Value$22.37$23.44$24.54
Upside / Downside-51.46%-49.14%-46.74%

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