Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Runa Smart Equipment Co., Ltd. (301129.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.85 - $5.60$4.70
Multi-Stage$5.34 - $5.86$5.59
Blended Fair Value$5.14
Current Price$28.10
Upside-81.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS1.33%0.00%0.170.450.380.000.010.160.030.020.000.00
YoY Growth---62.03%16.52%0.00%-100.00%-96.49%488.74%17.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.81%2.31%0.86%0.00%0.02%0.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)69.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)59.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.868.665.20
Cash Retained (M)59.1959.1959.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.86-8.66-5.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.3350.5353.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)134.71134.71134.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.380.40
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.380.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.48
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-0.67%0.33%1.33%
Fair Value$3.85$4.70$5.60
Upside / Downside-86.29%-83.28%-80.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)69.3269.5569.7870.0170.2570.4872.59
Payout Ratio14.61%29.69%44.76%59.84%74.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.1320.6531.2441.9052.6363.4367.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-0.67%0.33%1.33%
Year 1 PV (M)18.5918.7818.97
Year 2 PV (M)25.3325.8426.36
Year 3 PV (M)30.5931.5232.47
Year 4 PV (M)34.6036.0137.47
Year 5 PV (M)37.5539.4841.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)572.13601.52632.10
Equity Value (M)718.79753.15788.85
Shares Outstanding (M)134.71134.71134.71
Fair Value$5.34$5.59$5.86
Upside / Downside-81.01%-80.10%-79.16%

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