Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Zhejiang Wellsun Intelligent Technology Co.,Ltd. (300882.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.59 - $12.73$9.85
Multi-Stage$7.56 - $8.27$7.91
Blended Fair Value$8.88
Current Price$19.19
Upside-53.74%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS664.17%0.00%0.430.140.040.170.000.000.050.000.090.00
YoY Growth--200.21%300.00%-78.33%0.00%-100.00%-99.97%6,143.11%-99.08%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.73%0.90%0.28%1.47%0.00%0.00%0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)175.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)160.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.0421.9013.14
Cash Retained (M)160.86160.86160.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.04-21.90-13.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)125.82138.96147.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)283.41283.41283.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.490.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.490.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate3.27%4.27%5.27%
Fair Value$7.59$9.85$12.73
Upside / Downside-60.44%-48.69%-33.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)175.21182.70190.50198.63207.12215.96222.44
Payout Ratio8.19%24.55%40.91%57.28%73.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.3544.8577.94113.77152.52194.37205.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate3.27%4.27%5.27%
Year 1 PV (M)40.3940.7841.17
Year 2 PV (M)63.1864.4165.66
Year 3 PV (M)83.0485.4887.96
Year 4 PV (M)100.23104.17108.23
Year 5 PV (M)115.01120.69126.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,739.531,825.391,914.62
Equity Value (M)2,141.392,240.932,344.22
Shares Outstanding (M)283.41283.41283.41
Fair Value$7.56$7.91$8.27
Upside / Downside-60.63%-58.80%-56.90%

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