Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sichuan Injet Electric Stock Co.,Ltd. (300820.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.52 - $40.13$26.50
Multi-Stage$13.84 - $15.10$14.46
Blended Fair Value$20.48
Current Price$51.88
Upside-60.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%10.71%0.400.330.220.170.140.000.000.210.110.13
YoY Growth--23.58%48.93%26.46%20.46%0.00%0.00%-100.00%100.00%-16.67%-11.19%
Dividend Yield--0.81%0.62%0.38%0.44%0.77%0.00%0.00%1.50%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)212.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)88.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)124.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42.5426.5915.95
Cash Retained (M)124.28124.28124.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-42.54-26.59-15.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)81.7497.69108.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)221.05221.05221.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.370.440.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.370.440.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.770.840.89
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.52$26.50$40.13
Upside / Downside-64.29%-48.93%-22.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)212.72226.55241.28256.96273.66291.45300.19
Payout Ratio41.58%51.26%60.95%70.63%80.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)88.44116.13147.05181.49219.79262.30277.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)104.69105.68106.68
Year 2 PV (M)119.51121.78124.08
Year 3 PV (M)132.97136.79140.68
Year 4 PV (M)145.17150.75156.49
Year 5 PV (M)156.18163.73171.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,401.592,517.592,638.02
Equity Value (M)3,060.113,196.323,337.51
Shares Outstanding (M)221.05221.05221.05
Fair Value$13.84$14.46$15.10
Upside / Downside-73.32%-72.13%-70.90%

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