Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Jutze Intelligence Technology Co.,Ltd (300802.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.01 - $2.84$2.42
Multi-Stage$3.16 - $3.46$3.31
Blended Fair Value$2.86
Current Price$21.23
Upside-86.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.66%0.00%0.160.150.090.070.070.130.080.000.040.17
YoY Growth--10.46%68.85%22.58%0.25%-45.20%55.61%1,857.51%-89.69%-76.06%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.90%0.86%0.37%0.41%0.31%0.83%0.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.4210.896.53
Cash Retained (M)42.5542.5542.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.42-10.89-6.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.1231.6636.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)285.19285.19285.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.270.28
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.01$2.42$2.84
Upside / Downside-90.55%-88.60%-86.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87.1286.2585.3984.5483.6982.8585.34
Payout Ratio51.16%58.93%66.70%74.46%82.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.5750.8356.9562.9568.8274.5778.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)45.7746.2346.70
Year 2 PV (M)46.1847.1248.08
Year 3 PV (M)45.9647.3848.83
Year 4 PV (M)45.2447.1149.05
Year 5 PV (M)44.1446.4448.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)673.58708.66745.18
Equity Value (M)900.86942.94986.66
Shares Outstanding (M)285.19285.19285.19
Fair Value$3.16$3.31$3.46
Upside / Downside-85.12%-84.43%-83.70%

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