Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shenzhen Liande Automation Equipment co.,ltd. (300545.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.82 - $31.78$21.12
Multi-Stage$10.96 - $11.97$11.46
Blended Fair Value$16.29
Current Price$32.11
Upside-49.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.30%94.73%0.220.190.100.190.180.160.150.080.000.08
YoY Growth--17.45%83.57%-45.40%7.30%12.60%5.35%80.94%0.00%-100.00%28,471.43%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.66%0.48%1.05%0.79%0.58%0.48%0.26%0.00%0.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)99.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9218.0710.84
Cash Retained (M)99.9299.9299.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.92-18.07-10.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)71.0181.8589.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)185.49185.49185.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.380.440.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.380.440.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.620.680.72
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.82$21.12$31.78
Upside / Downside-53.84%-34.22%-1.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.58153.97163.98174.64185.99198.08204.02
Payout Ratio30.89%42.71%54.53%66.35%78.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.6565.7689.42115.88145.40178.27188.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)59.2559.8160.38
Year 2 PV (M)72.6073.9875.38
Year 3 PV (M)84.7887.2189.69
Year 4 PV (M)95.8599.53103.33
Year 5 PV (M)105.89111.00116.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,615.521,693.551,774.57
Equity Value (M)2,033.882,125.092,219.65
Shares Outstanding (M)185.49185.49185.49
Fair Value$10.96$11.46$11.97
Upside / Downside-65.85%-64.32%-62.73%

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