Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Guangzhou Wondfo Biotech Co.,Ltd (300482.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.39 - $109.10$56.90
Multi-Stage$13.05 - $14.24$13.63
Blended Fair Value$35.27
Current Price$21.29
Upside65.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.17%22.21%0.410.480.300.370.180.170.210.070.000.11
YoY Growth---13.95%62.27%-19.14%103.33%9.15%-21.42%219.98%0.00%-100.00%100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.80%1.91%0.95%0.76%0.29%0.28%0.77%0.25%0.00%0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)259.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)193.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.8932.4319.46
Cash Retained (M)66.2866.2866.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.89-32.43-19.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.3933.8546.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)472.91472.91472.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.070.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.070.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.51
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$24.39$56.90$109.10
Upside / Downside14.56%167.28%412.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)259.43276.30294.25313.38333.75355.45366.11
Payout Ratio74.45%77.56%80.67%83.78%86.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)193.16214.30237.38262.56290.00319.90338.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)197.67199.54201.41
Year 2 PV (M)201.96205.80209.69
Year 3 PV (M)206.03211.95217.97
Year 4 PV (M)209.90217.97226.28
Year 5 PV (M)213.57223.89234.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,140.235,388.515,646.28
Equity Value (M)6,169.366,447.656,736.23
Shares Outstanding (M)472.91472.91472.91
Fair Value$13.05$13.63$14.24
Upside / Downside-38.72%-35.96%-33.09%

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