Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wuhan Zhongyuan Huadian Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (300018.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.14 - $8.19$5.73
Multi-Stage$3.32 - $3.62$3.47
Blended Fair Value$4.60
Current Price$9.11
Upside-49.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%2.12%0.050.050.000.000.000.000.100.050.050.00
YoY Growth--0.00%11,922.83%-77.03%-45.13%0.00%-100.00%104.01%-1.29%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.68%0.89%0.01%0.03%0.06%0.00%1.57%0.71%0.45%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)123.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)89.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.6115.389.23
Cash Retained (M)89.3889.3889.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.61-15.38-9.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)64.7774.0080.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)503.83503.83503.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.210.23
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.05%6.05%7.05%
Fair Value$4.14$5.73$8.19
Upside / Downside-54.52%-37.07%-10.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)123.04130.47138.36146.73155.60165.01169.96
Payout Ratio27.36%39.89%52.41%64.94%77.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.6652.0472.5295.29120.55148.51157.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.05%6.05%7.05%
Year 1 PV (M)46.8647.3147.76
Year 2 PV (M)58.8159.9461.07
Year 3 PV (M)69.5971.5973.64
Year 4 PV (M)79.2882.3485.49
Year 5 PV (M)87.9592.2296.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,330.131,394.651,461.66
Equity Value (M)1,672.611,748.051,826.26
Shares Outstanding (M)503.83503.83503.83
Fair Value$3.32$3.47$3.62
Upside / Downside-63.56%-61.92%-60.21%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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