Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Fortune Information Systems Corp (2468.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$72.84 - $227.39$213.10
Multi-Stage$31.46 - $34.37$32.88
Blended Fair Value$122.99
Current Price$53.00
Upside132.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.86%10.31%0.800.600.400.400.500.500.400.500.500.50
YoY Growth--33.34%50.00%0.00%-20.00%0.00%25.00%-20.00%0.00%0.00%66.67%
Dividend Yield--1.54%1.99%1.60%2.96%3.65%3.86%3.33%3.84%4.33%4.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)80.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)62.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.0710.046.03
Cash Retained (M)17.3917.3917.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.07-10.04-6.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.327.3511.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.2870.2870.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.100.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.100.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.911.001.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$72.84$213.10$227.39
Upside / Downside37.43%302.07%329.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)80.3685.5891.1497.07103.38110.10113.40
Payout Ratio78.36%80.69%83.01%85.34%87.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)62.9769.0575.6682.8490.6399.09104.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)64.0364.6465.25
Year 2 PV (M)65.0666.3067.55
Year 3 PV (M)66.0667.9669.89
Year 4 PV (M)67.0269.6072.25
Year 5 PV (M)67.9571.2374.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,880.541,971.372,065.68
Equity Value (M)2,210.662,311.092,415.25
Shares Outstanding (M)70.2870.2870.28
Fair Value$31.46$32.88$34.37
Upside / Downside-40.65%-37.95%-35.16%

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