Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Huons Co., Ltd. (243070.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28,245.02 - $43,814.37$35,451.90
Multi-Stage$60,703.86 - $66,898.25$63,739.93
Blended Fair Value$49,595.91
Current Price$29,750.00
Upside66.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162014
DPS2.75%0.00%627.81894.46542.33493.46527.52548.22311.660.000.00176.97
YoY Growth---29.81%64.93%9.90%-6.46%-3.78%75.90%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.56%2.49%1.71%1.05%1.03%1.45%0.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35,753.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,608.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)30,145.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,150.654,469.162,681.49
Cash Retained (M)30,145.1230,145.1230,145.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,150.65-4,469.16-2,681.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,994.4725,675.9627,463.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.9011.9011.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,931.862,157.152,307.33
LTM Dividend per Share471.16471.16471.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,931.862,157.152,307.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,403.032,628.312,778.50
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-1.82%-0.82%0.18%
Fair Value$28,245.02$35,451.90$43,814.37
Upside / Downside-5.06%19.17%47.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35,753.2635,459.9835,169.1134,880.6334,594.5134,310.7435,340.06
Payout Ratio15.69%30.55%45.41%60.27%75.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,608.1410,832.5115,970.7921,024.0425,993.3230,879.6632,689.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-1.82%-0.82%0.18%
Year 1 PV (M)10,065.7310,168.2510,270.77
Year 2 PV (M)13,789.8314,072.1714,357.37
Year 3 PV (M)16,868.0517,388.7417,920.04
Year 4 PV (M)19,378.7920,180.4621,006.75
Year 5 PV (M)21,392.1122,503.9723,661.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)641,048.34674,366.86709,056.59
Equity Value (M)722,542.84758,680.45796,273.10
Shares Outstanding (M)11.9011.9011.90
Fair Value$60,703.86$63,739.93$66,898.25
Upside / Downside104.05%114.25%124.87%

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