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Definitive Analysis

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Artner Co.,Ltd. (2163.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,473.58 - $24,926.95$23,360.20
Multi-Stage$3,334.46 - $3,644.37$3,486.59
Blended Fair Value$13,423.40
Current Price$1,973.00
Upside580.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS30.56%31.55%77.0877.0240.1725.4121.8420.3215.9312.679.957.46
YoY Growth--0.08%91.74%58.06%16.37%7.47%27.58%25.75%27.36%33.36%50.11%
Dividend Yield--4.11%3.53%3.01%3.06%2.72%3.07%1.84%1.13%1.63%2.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,331.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)866.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)465.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)266.36166.4799.88
Cash Retained (M)465.05465.05465.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-266.36-166.47-99.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)198.69298.57365.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.6310.6310.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.7028.1034.37
LTM Dividend per Share81.5781.5781.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.7028.1034.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend100.27109.67115.94
WACC / Discount Rate6.92%6.92%6.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,473.58$23,360.20$24,926.95
Upside / Downside278.79%1,083.99%1,163.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,331.791,418.351,510.541,608.731,713.301,824.661,879.40
Payout Ratio65.08%70.06%75.05%80.03%85.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)866.74993.761,133.641,287.501,456.581,642.191,738.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.92%6.92%6.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)920.76929.49938.21
Year 2 PV (M)973.20991.731,010.44
Year 3 PV (M)1,024.081,053.481,083.44
Year 4 PV (M)1,073.451,114.741,157.20
Year 5 PV (M)1,121.341,175.501,231.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,317.1131,781.4433,301.81
Equity Value (M)35,429.9437,046.3838,722.84
Shares Outstanding (M)10.6310.6310.63
Fair Value$3,334.46$3,486.59$3,644.37
Upside / Downside69.00%76.72%84.71%

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