Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sisram Medical Ltd (1696.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.97 - $4.62$2.90
Multi-Stage$1.44 - $1.57$1.51
Blended Fair Value$2.20
Current Price$0.55
Upside297.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.02%0.00%0.020.020.020.010.010.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---9.61%12.71%122.50%-33.20%11.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.17%3.33%1.75%0.73%3.14%2.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.835.523.31
Cash Retained (M)24.1424.1424.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.83-5.52-3.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.3118.6220.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)468.13468.13468.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.080.080.09
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1.97$2.90$4.62
Upside / Downside256.50%423.50%733.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44.1547.0250.0853.3356.8060.4962.31
Payout Ratio45.32%54.26%63.19%72.13%81.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.0125.5131.6538.4746.0454.4457.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)23.0723.2923.51
Year 2 PV (M)25.8926.3826.88
Year 3 PV (M)28.4629.2830.11
Year 4 PV (M)30.8131.9933.21
Year 5 PV (M)32.9434.5436.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)534.02559.81586.59
Equity Value (M)675.19705.28736.48
Shares Outstanding (M)468.13468.13468.13
Fair Value$1.44$1.51$1.57
Upside / Downside160.36%171.96%183.99%

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