Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Hantech Bio-Technology Co., Ltd. (1294.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$432.55 - $825.29$773.42
Multi-Stage$131.27 - $143.57$137.31
Blended Fair Value$455.36
Current Price$81.10
Upside461.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS39.19%0.00%0.610.530.000.250.120.120.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--15.28%0.00%-100.00%116.79%0.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.64%0.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)132.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)87.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)44.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.4816.559.93
Cash Retained (M)44.9844.9844.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.48-16.55-9.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.5028.4335.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.9131.9131.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.580.891.10
LTM Dividend per Share2.742.742.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.580.891.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.323.633.84
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$432.55$773.42$825.29
Upside / Downside433.35%853.66%917.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)132.42141.02150.19159.95170.35181.42186.87
Payout Ratio66.03%70.82%75.62%80.41%85.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)87.4399.88113.57128.62145.15163.28172.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)93.0793.9594.83
Year 2 PV (M)98.61100.49102.39
Year 3 PV (M)104.06107.05110.10
Year 4 PV (M)109.43113.64117.97
Year 5 PV (M)114.71120.25126.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,668.853,846.064,030.04
Equity Value (M)4,188.734,381.434,581.32
Shares Outstanding (M)31.9131.9131.91
Fair Value$131.27$137.31$143.57
Upside / Downside61.86%69.31%77.03%

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