Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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G-Resources Group Limited (1051.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.73 - $2.45$2.08
Multi-Stage$2.54 - $2.79$2.67
Blended Fair Value$2.37
Current Price$1.17
Upside102.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.020.020.000.000.000.000.000.010.03
YoY Growth--0.49%-0.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-55.34%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.88%6.13%5.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.22%2.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)119.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)105.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.8514.918.94
Cash Retained (M)105.42105.42105.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.85-14.91-8.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)81.5790.5296.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)450.81450.81450.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.24
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.73$2.08$2.45
Upside / Downside47.72%78.06%109.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)119.26118.07116.89115.72114.56113.41116.82
Payout Ratio11.60%27.28%42.96%58.64%74.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.8432.2150.2267.8685.14102.07108.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)28.9929.2829.58
Year 2 PV (M)40.6741.5042.34
Year 3 PV (M)49.4550.9852.54
Year 4 PV (M)55.8458.1560.54
Year 5 PV (M)60.2463.3866.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)911.04958.481,007.88
Equity Value (M)1,146.231,201.781,259.53
Shares Outstanding (M)450.81450.81450.81
Fair Value$2.54$2.67$2.79
Upside / Downside117.31%127.85%138.79%

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